The GPM Global Forecast is a bi-weekly, members-only article series for 2017. It provides analysis and short-term forecasting on key military, political, and economic events around the globe.

Brexit gets rolling in the United Kingdom

Theresa May has delivered a letter to the European Council that officially triggers Article 50, starting the two-year process of leaving the European Union. The letter stated that the UK government wants a ‘deep and special partnership’ with the bloc post-Brexit. It also called for consideration of implementation periods to avoid major market disruptions. In a glimpse of what could be the leverage being relied on by UK negotiators, it also suggests that a breakdown on major economic and political issues (free trade, status of UK/EU nationals, etc), could harm post-Brexit cooperation in the security realm on matters like fighting terrorism and crime.