Forecasts

Outlook 2020: Oil Markets

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Assessing market risks and potential winners and losers in the year ahead.

Outlook 2020: African Debt Levels

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Despite a recent stabilization, African debt levels have some worrying about the continent’s resilience in the event of a global economic downturn.

Outlook 2020: The Year in Drought

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Tracking the most vulnerable and food-insecure regions in the year ahead.

Outlook 2020: The War in Afghanistan

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Will 2020 bring an end to the United States’ longest war?

Outlook 2020: Emerging Market Debt Bombs

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Turkey, Lebanon, and Argentina will be hoping for smooth sailing ahead in the global economy, as all three countries face massive financing challenges in the year ahead.

Global Forecast (08-26-2019)

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Italy coalition negotiations come down to the wire, Assad’s Idlib offensive rolls out, and North Korea unleashes its “super-large multiple rocket launcher.”

Global Forecast (6-25-2019)

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A biting electoral loss for Turkey’s Erdogan, an unlikely winner in the US-China trade war, and the bizarre posturing dance between Iran and the United States continues.

Global Forecast (03-19-2019)

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Trump meets his tropical doppelganger in Bolsonaro, a sea change unfolds in Slovak politics, and one of Central Asia’s longest-running leaders suddenly steps down.

Global Forecast (03-04-2019)

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A dramatic end to the Trump-Kim summit, new stimulus in China, and Greece’s triumphant return to international bond markets.

Global Forecast (01-28-2019)

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ISIS claims responsibility in the latest Philippines bombing, Trump’s coal renaissance crumbles in the United States, and a generous pre-election budget expected in India.

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