Situation Reports

Guatemala’s Establishment Fights Back against UN-Backed Corruption Board

TillersonMorales, cc Flickr U.S. Department of State, modified, http://www.usa.gov/copyright.shtml

After a string of early victories, the future of the Commission Against Impunity for Corruption in Guatemala is very much in question.

FLASH: Inflation Ticks Upward in Canada

Canadian 10-dollar bill, cc Flickr KMR Photography, modfied, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Creeping inflation could force the Bank of Canada’s hand on an interest rate hike come April.

Trump Expands His Trade War to China

cc Flickr Håkan Dahlström, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The opening volleys have been fired in the long awaited US-China trade war.

Slovakia’s Political Crisis Escalates following Journalist’s Murder

former Slovakia prime minister Robert Fico, cc Flickr EU2016 SK, modified, https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

The murder of Ján Kuciak has toppled several major figures in Slovakian politics. Will former prime minister Robert Fico be next?

Focus Shifts to Manbij as Turkey Moves into Afrin Unopposed

Kurdish YPG Fighter, cc Flickr Kurdishstruggle, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

An attack on Manbij would put President Erdogan in direct conflict with the US military and its Syrian allies.

Rising Tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean: Another South China Sea?

EastMedGas-Final-THUMB

Border disputes, lucrative energy resources, and an aggressive regional hegemon – the similarities between the Eastern Mediterranean and the South China Sea are striking.

Tillerson Fired as Trump Veers “America First”

cc Flickr Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Trump has installed a kindred spirit at the top of the State Department. The move can be expected to reverberate throughout US foreign policy, notably in the administration’s approach to Iran.

Russia’s Political Theater Masks the Bigger Question: What Comes Next?

Putinpainting, cc Flickr Nikolay Volnov, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Though the result of the upcoming Russian election is effectively predetermined, the question of Vladimir Putin’s future remains an open one.

Italy: Still Part of the PIGS Club?

EUItalyFlag, CC Flickr Ed Uthman, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Has austerity and EU intervention forestalled the possibility of a Greece-like repeat in Italy, or merely delayed it?

Ramaphosa Gets to Work on South Africa’s ANC

AfricaVote, cc Flickr Darryn van der Walt, modified, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

Here’s what to expect from President Cyril Ramaphosa as he tries to rescue the ANC’s electoral prospects for 2019.

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