Iran-Saudi Arabia Rivalry
Soleimani Assassination to send Shockwaves through the Middle East and Beyond
Though the assassination will further destabilize the region, a large-scale conventional conflict remains unlikely.
Iran’s Regional Grand Project Wobbles
Iran’s region-wide geopolitical project is now imperiled on multiple fronts, including at home.
With Aramco IPO, Riyadh Doubles Down on Economic Diversification
But geopolitics could get in the way of MBS’ reform program for the Saudi economy.
Saudi Arabia Oil Attack a Geopolitical Game-changer in the Middle East
Riyadh’s evident vulnerability will lead to a search for new regional allies, and Israel is a surprising possible candidate.
Fallout from Saudi Oil Facility Attack
Appraising the geopolitical and market fallout from the mysterious attack on Saudi oil facilities earlier this month.
Sudan: The MENA Region’s Next Proxy Conflict?
The political dispute in Sudan is fertile ground for wider geopolitical machinations between the Saudi-UAE and Turkey-Qatar blocs. Is Sudan doomed to become the next Syria?
Will Russia Betray Iran Again?
If history is any indication, don’t expect Russia to jump to Iran’s assistance in the event of a US military strike.
IMF Surprises with Saudi Deficit Projections
Should the Saudi government be worried about its growing budget deficit?
US-Iran Tensions: Saudi Sabotage Rattles Oil Markets
Two instances of sabotage on Saudi oil infrastructure suggest the possibility of Iranian blowback from mounting tensions with the United States.
Backgrounder: Iran’s Military Strategy in the Persian Gulf
Iran’s military strategy calls for asymmetric warfare against a much more powerful foe in the United States, with a focus on increasing the military and economic costs of any potential conflict.